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NCAAF Betting Thread

Discussion in 'Poker, Race & Sportsbook' started by LawrenceC, Sep 21, 2016.

  1. LawrenceC

    LawrenceC
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    So I thought to open a thread on this mainly because it's something new to me and I really know very little about it, and it's not really being discussed here though a few folk seem to know quite a lot about it.

    Side note: About a week ago we put these games on our site and we launched a small open competition, deets here if anyone interested:
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    But the main reason I'm interested, and I'd love people's opinion is that SURELY college football must be more profitable for betting than pro sports? I know there's a huge volume bet on NCAAF but it's spread much more fine (we alone have like over 60 games each week available). So the betting on a PER GAME basis must be much lower, and some of the colleges involved at the top level are very small organizations.

    I assumed betting limits would be much lower for college, but it appears to not be the case at all. So isn't there a lot more to be made and a lot more opportunity for finding advantageous spreads? I get that Ohio State - Michigan etc may as well be an NFL game, but looking further down, when it comes to games like San Antonio - Old Dominon or whatever, there must be information available to specific punters that puts them at an advantage over the books? While the average gambler has no chance of consistently beating the books on pro sports, due to the open availability of info, surely college ball doesn't always go this way.

    Anyway, I'd be super interested in any opinions on this, especially people that consistently bet on college ball. If this turns into a week-by-week discussion into some of the games - even better.
     
  2. tom4u

    tom4u
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    I definitely bet more in ncaaf than nfl. NFL has a lot more accurate and consistent data points to track, making the lines to be very tight. It basically forces me to coin flip and combined with the vig, I can't win.

    College players are still developing physically, mentally, and emotionally which creates higher ratio of mistakes affecting outcomes.
    The ability to rise up and perform in college when you’re “hungry” can be the difference of an average player performing at an elite level for short spurts, which is hard to account for in a line.

    Inconsistencies from a lot of variables reduce analytical accuracies creating higher unpredictability. Chaos and randomness provides a higher margin for error and luck in my attempt to win bets.
     
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  3. LawrenceC

    LawrenceC
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    Thanks, that's really interesting, and to me makes a lot of sense. It's seems it's far more possible to have a significant knowledge edge in college ball than pro.
     

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